A signal you cannot explain is a tip, not a strategy. This page documents exactly how the desk produces every alert — what has to line up before a signal goes out, the risk rules that are never waived, the situations in which we deliberately do nothing, and how we rank brokers.
Confluence first: technical and fundamental together
No signal is published on a single indicator. The desk requires confluence — independent factors pointing the same way — before an alert goes out.
On the technical side: trend structure on the higher timeframes, established support and resistance zones, momentum confirmation and the liquidity profile of the current session. On the fundamental side: the macro calendar, central-bank pricing and the prevailing risk sentiment across assets. A technically perfect setup that fights the macro backdrop is skipped; a strong macro story without a clean level to trade against is skipped too.
Risk rules on every signal
- A stop loss is fixed before publication — a signal without an invalidation level does not exist here
- Every signal carries at least one defined take-profit target; strong setups carry TP2/TP3 extensions
- We recommend risking 1–2% of your account per trade, never more
- No averaging into losing positions and no moving stops away from price
- Size on the assumption a stop can slip — no broker we rank offers a guaranteed stop-loss, so your exit can fill through your level in fast markets
- Running trades receive management updates — break-even moves, partial closes, extended targets
When we don't trade
Standing aside is a position. The desk deliberately goes quiet in conditions where the edge disappears:
- The minutes around high-impact releases — NFP, CPI, FOMC and central-bank decisions — when spreads blow out and slippage is unpredictable (these typically land in the late afternoon or evening EAT)
- Holiday and late-week thin liquidity, when quiet books make levels unreliable
- Markets with unclear structure — if the chart requires imagination, there is no signal
How we rank brokers — and what we refuse to publish
Broker rankings and signals are produced separately, and the ranking is not a regulatory recommendation. Base Markets is rank 1 because of the free-signals offer — a commercial reason we state out loud rather than dress up as objectivity. On Kenyan regulation specifically it is not the strongest choice: Pepperstone Markets Kenya Limited holds CMA Licence No. 128 and Base Markets holds no CMA licence at all. Those are two different questions and we answer them separately.
Some broker links on this site earn us commission and some are plain editorial links that earn us nothing; the pages say which. Two rules govern what we will and will not print. First, regulatory status comes from the regulator's own register, never from search results — if we did not read a licence number from a primary source, we say we did not rather than repeat what other comparison sites claim. Second, a retail-loss percentage belongs to one specific licensed entity, so we publish only the figure that applies to the entity a reader in this market would actually be onboarded by. Where we could not resolve which entity that is, we publish no figure and no link — which is exactly why one well-known brand is named in our Kenyan comparison with no call-to-action attached to it.
Verification and publication
Every signal is timestamped on Telegram at the moment it is issued, with entry, take profit and stop loss already attached — outcomes are never claimed after the fact. Closed trades feed the weekly report, which tallies accuracy by points, not by trade count, and the running record is public on the performance page. Recent closed signals are listed on the signals page.
Limitations — what a signal cannot do
Signals are professional opinions about probable price moves, not certainties, and this methodology does not eliminate risk — it manages it. Individual results differ with spreads, execution timing and position sizing, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Signals are general analysis, not personal investment advice; if you are unsure whether leveraged trading suits your circumstances, consult an independent licensed financial adviser and read our risk disclosure.