A signal is the last step of a process, not a hunch typed into Telegram. This page documents that process — how setups are found, filtered and risk-checked, when we deliberately don't trade, and how every result ends up in the published record.
Step 1 — Technical setup first
Everything starts on the chart. The desk maps market structure (trend direction and the levels where it would break), marks support and resistance that price has actually respected, and waits for a trigger — a clean break, a retest, or a rejection with momentum confirming. No level, no trade. We trade the markets where technicals are most reliable: gold, forex majors, oil, major indices and large-cap crypto.
Step 2 — Fundamental confluence
A technical setup only becomes a signal when the macro backdrop doesn't argue against it. Before publication the desk checks the economic calendar, central-bank positioning, and the risk tone in equities and yields. A textbook gold long that sits minutes ahead of a major US data release isn't a signal — it's a coin flip, and we skip it.
Step 3 — Risk is defined before publication
No signal leaves the desk without three numbers attached: entry, take profit and stop loss. The stop is placed where the setup is objectively wrong — beyond the invalidation level, not at an arbitrary distance — and the trade is only published when the reward justifies the risk.
- Stop loss on every signal, fixed before it's sent — never added after
- Subscribers are advised to risk no more than 1–2% of account equity per trade
- Strong setups carry TP2/TP3 extensions so winners can be scaled out
- Running trades get live management: break-even moves and partial closes are announced in the feed
When we don't trade
The quietest skill in this business is standing aside. There are recurring conditions under which the desk publishes nothing, on purpose:
- High-impact news windows — major central-bank decisions and top-tier data releases
- Thin liquidity — holiday sessions and the dead zone after the New York close
- Unclear structure — when price is chopping between levels with no defined invalidation
- Correlated exposure — we won't stack several signals that all fail on the same move
Verification: from live alert to published record
Each signal is timestamped in the Telegram feed at the moment of publication, with its levels fixed. When the trade closes — at target, at stop, or at break-even — the outcome is recorded, and every outcome flows into the weekly report. Accuracy is measured by points, not by trade count, so one large loss weighs exactly as it should. The full record and the measurement method are on the performance page; recent closed signals are listed on the signals page.
The limits of any methodology
Process reduces error; it doesn't eliminate risk. Signals are analyst opinions about probable price moves, losing trades occur every month, and past performance — including our 94% by-points average — doesn't guarantee anything about next week. Follow the risk rules, size positions conservatively, and treat the record as evidence of discipline, not a promise of profit.